Business & Economics
Penguin UK
03/05/2007
316

Undertitlen på bogen er: "The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets". I prologen til bogen beskriver Nassim Nicholas Taleb temaet for bogen således:
This book is about luck disguised and perceived as nonluck (that is, skills) and, more generally, randomness disguised and perceived as non-randomness (that is, determinism). It manifests itself in the shape of the lucky fool, defined as a person who benefited from a disproportionate share of luck but attributes his success to some other, generally very precise, reason.
Taleb er flink til at bruge mange underoverskrifter, hvorfor indholdsfortegnelsen er omfangsrig, men måske ikke så sigende (Taleb antyder i indledningen at han hader bøger, der kan gættes på baggrund af indholdsfortegnelsen), her nøjes jeg med hovedoverskrifterne på kapitlerne:
- If you're so rich, why aren't you so smart?
- A bizarre accounting method
- A mathematical mediation on history
- Randomness, nonsense, and the scientific intellectual
- Survival of the least fit - can evolution be fooled by randomness?
- Skewness and asymmetry
- The problem of induction
- Too many millionaires next door
- It is easier to buy and sell than fry an egg
- Loser takes all - on the nonlinearities of life
- Randomness and our mind: we are probability blind
- Gamlers' tricks and pigeons in a box
- Carneades comes to rome: on probability and skepticism
- Bacchus abandons antony
Selvom det her virker intetsigende er bogen absolut anbefalelsesværdig.
Efter at have opdaget Nassim Nicholas Taleb i bogen “The everything store” om Amazon, bestilte jeg i december 2013 tre bøger af Taleb: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan og Antifragile, og besluttede at læse dem i udgivelsesrækkefølge. Læs videre “Fooled by randomness”